Hazardous Weather Outlook Average star voting: 3 ( 97746 reviews) Summary: It may not be a surprise, but April is one of the windier months of the year. Here, smoke and debris blow from a wildfire near Crescent, Iowa, as the area experienced high winds last month. His study was published in Renewable Energy in 2020. If we combine all Stratospheric Warming events in the past decades and look at the weather 0-30 days after these events, we get an interesting, but perhaps an expected weather picture. I mean, this is usually the "dry spring" but you get a storm for an hour or so every couple of daysor we used to. Fort Knox Current Hazards It now shows warm anomalies emerging across the equatorial Pacific Ocean (black box). You have permission to edit this article. Research shows climate change is likely to strengthen some seasonal patterns already at play in the central U.S.: stronger winds in the winter and spring and quieter winds in the summer. (Also see "Extreme Storms and Floods Concretely Linked to Climate Change?"). During the El Nino winter season, we have a strong and persistent low-pressure area in the North Pacific. That is due to the unique weather pattern it helps to set up, which can deflect a lot of energy upwards. We could really use a nice rain dumping TS around these parts. 1-Stop Climate Generally, the reason for our bad hair days and uncontrollable car door hinges is the pressure gradient force. It is known for its strong influence down from the stratosphere, in either direction, for a cold or warm winter. Below we have a close-up image of the ENSO regions. And after getting several questions from viewers like you about the windy days we've had recently, I had to jump on the topic. But there can also be smaller warming waves in the stratosphere, that do not collapse the polar vortex. (See "Extreme Ocean Storms on the Rise, Tremors Show."). Date Submitted: 08/02/2021 11:42 PM . "I was getting dirt out for a couple of days from my eyes, ears, hair," Korte said. El Nino and La Nina Weather reports include observations of wind speed and direction measured at the height of 10 meters (33 feet) above the surface. This also causes a pressure difference as a large low-pressure (cyclonic) circulation starts to develop across the Northern Hemisphere from the surface layers, far up into the stratosphere. It is basically like a very large low-pressure system, covering the whole north pole, down to the mid-latitudes. New AI may pass the famed Turing test. The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO), is a regular variation of the winds high above the equator. Nationwide Weather Stories These arms also pack a lot of energy and can create strong winter storms, either Noreasters in the United States or a powerful wind storm in the North Atlantic. It truly is like watching an actual heart pulse, just that it is of the atmosphere. A plastic bag gets stuck on a Lime electric scooter during high winds on Thursday. The bottom line up front, yes it has been windier. At . At least during the main spring part, when there are most tornadoes and the ENSO still has its role in the global circulation. Forecast Discussion 3/ Try peppermint oil. Below we have the latest global ocean temperature anomaly from NOAA. Embattled Rockwall-Heath football coach resigns after multiple students diagnosed with rhabdo, officials say, Coppell girls' basketball to make its UIL state tournament debut, Severe storms likely in DFW Thursday: Timeline, risks and everything you need to know. Research by Liang Chen, a climate scientist at Illinois State Water Survey at the University of Illinois, has concluded that climate change is likely to strengthen some seasonal patterns already at play in the central U.S., including Nebraska: stronger winds in the winter and spring and quieter winds in the summer. Wind is the movement of air caused by the uneven heating of Earth by the sun. In the past 20 years, winds have picked up around 5 percent on average. So if we now summarize, we have the changing ocean anomalies, going from a cold ENSO to a warm one, an El Nino. Changing wind patterns are an urgent area of research because of wind's importance to weaning economies from fossil fuel and for its overall impact on agriculture, public health and public safety. Below we have the ocean temperature forecast for the early 2022 Summer season, from the ECMWF. Continuous winds year to date. But besides the ocean temperatures, one of the more important differences is also in the pressure pattern. Researchers around the world are tackling ways to gather data on changing wind patterns. It shows the pressure rising over the polar regions, following an SSW event. It nicely shows the main outlines of the central and eastern parts of the Tornado Alley. The conditions are mostly warmer than normal and drier than normal in the north. Here's a look at the answer in the video above. But wind can position baitfish and the fish you are trying to catch, so wind can be your friend. The image below shows the temperature anomaly in the ENSO 3.4 region and reveals a stronger cooling since early October due to stronger trade winds. It reveals the true shape and size of the polar vortex closer to the ground (cold colors). The cold ENSO phase is called La Nina and the warm phase is called El Nino. For an official warm phase to be declared, warm anomalies have to exceed +0.5 degrees in the Nino 3.4 region. Temperature and precipitation data for Omaha dates to 1871, but wind data goes back only to 1948, said Brian Barjenbruch, meteorologist with the weather service. That . And also, warm anomalies must persist on a multi-seasonal time scale. But the average wind speed in April (so far) beats the normal by a whopping 2.6 mph. Station History Lmfao, Hey neighbor, I actually had to take down a few of my windchimes today bc they were getting tangled. A wind forecast below for the 30mb level (~24km/15mi), shows this easterly wind stream above the tropical regions. Lower pressure over Greenland helps to keep the jet stream more to the north, allowing a high-pressure area to expand over much of Europe. "It was a scary situation," Korte said. We will go on a weather journey through 2022, starting with a seasonal weather pattern forecast for late winter and early parts of the Spring. If you must park on the shoulder, pull off as far as possible and turn on your emergency blinkers. Please subscribe to keep reading. There's no storms in the forecast, but the National Weather Service issued a wind advisory for all of North Texas until 7 p.m. North Texas had no storms in the forecast, but wind gusts were . There's plenty . The next extended seasonal forecast release is coming in February 2022, which will give a much better picture of what to expect for the next Fall/Winter season. Seems like the wind is always howling outside my window these days. These westerlies higher up at 10mb are just an early indicator of what is to come. Jackson I'd expect this sort of wind during the winter or as a hurricane approaches but this could just be selective memory. We usually observe a global shift in pressure patterns during the emergence of an ENSO phase but it is usually most influential during the peak of the phase and its decay. That is the typical signature of the cold ENSO phase. Hazardous Weather Outlook It's not yet clear whether the windier trend is due to global warming, or if it's part of a cyclical pattern, said Young, whose research appeared Friday in the journal Science. Increasing wind gusts have caused dust storms and fueled fires in the midwest. As. Its been windy in the boot as well, I'm unsure as to why, its been that way for months now, I don't remember Louisiana being this windy all the time. In the past 20 years, winds have picked up around 5 percent on average. Can we bring a species back from the brink?, Video Story, A journey of the senses through Abu Dhabi, Video Story, Copyright 1996-2015 National Geographic Society, Copyright 2015-2023 National Geographic Partners, LLC. A grand minimum means an unusually long phase of low solar activity, and global weather changes as a result like it happened during the Maunder Minimum. It completely broke the polar vortex apart, sending a wave of higher pressure down to the surface. " (This) was certainly not the . This naturally results in warmer air at the equator and colder air at the poles. The image below shows the ENSO regions in the tropical Pacific. Unauthorized use is prohibited. The forecast was issued earlier this month by EMCWF and covers the February-March-April (FMA) period. 2 2.Why has it been so windy in North Texas lately? The solar cycle is observed by the total sunspot numbers (SSN). Yes, it has been windier in Nebraska. Why is Kansas seeing so much high winds in 2022? NBC10 Boston. ECMWF produces these extended seasonal forecasts every few months. Lakes are so low I'm seeing ducks perch on mudbanks that never existed before, and turtles joyously sunning on random ridges popping out of the water, away from humans. The main reason is the weather patterns that we have seen earlier above, forced by a La Nina event. Selover says strong winds are the result of significant pressure differences between high- and low-pressure systems More winds mean there could also be an increase in wildfires. Looking at the latest high-resolution depth analysis under the ENSO regions, we still see colder than normal temperatures below the surface in the east. The area's average annual wind speed is 11.5 mph from January to May; the highest month is April, which averages a blustery 12.2 mph. The image below shows the connection between the east QBO and the Polar Vortex in the December-January winter period. One way to look at the whole ENSO region temperature strength is by looking at the ocean heat content. This way, ENSO has a major impact on the tropical rainfall and pressure patterns and impacts the ocean-atmosphere feedback system. As one phase is active, a new one already starts to descend slowly in the higher levels. Positive values indicate westerly winds, while negative values indicate easterly winds. But it is nicely seen how it can change with the Solar Cycle. Looking over the years, we can see that from the top 5 most active tornado years, 4 were actually La Nina seasons. That's why it has been so windy too, as we are stuck between a strong high pressure center to the north and that low south. So lets go into the atmosphere, and look at the major changes coming in 2022. A truck drives by a wildfire north of Crescent, Iowa on Friday. Typically, a polar vortex circulation collapses due to a rise in temperature in pressure in the stratosphere. If the winds keep up, they could impact "engineering design of coastal and offshore structures, coastal erosion, and marine ecosystems. Once again the winds are howling today, and gusts over 50 mph are common in much of Southern New England. It has a major impact on the tropical convection patterns (storms), pressure patterns, and thus on the interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere. From annoying to costly and deadly, strong winds have been bedeviling residents of the Great Plains for months. The four-alarm was the first in Omaha since the Butternut Coffee building fire in 2004. But what exactly is changing this year, and what weather patterns resulted from such changes in the past? Heres why each season begins twice. "I guarantee you every one of them wished they'd stopped at the last exit," he said. Early in the season, the high-pressure air in the Great Basin starts out warmer, so the addition of compressional heating can make for winds that feel hot like a hair dryer. You'll notice our winds this year were higher than normal. Every spring, the jet stream starts to shift from its winter location to its summer location. Weather Safety Rules Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. The earth is not evenly heated due to its curvature and its 23.5 tilt. Keep in mind that this is an average of sustained winds. A pedestrian finds a moment in the sun while walking underneath Interstate 480 in downtown Omaha this week. Both March 2022 and April 2022 came in with average wind speeds that are higher than normal. All rights reserved, "Extreme Ocean Storms on the Rise, Tremors Show. Nashville In terms of ridiculously windy days, Omaha, Lincoln and Norfolk all set records for the number of days with wind gusts in excess of 40 mph, he said. Normal wind speed for the month of March is 12.1 mph and it is 12.2 mph in April. The image below is from NASA analysis. SEE ALSO: The Coldest Air of the Winter Season 2021/22 Heads for the Northeast U.S. as Polar Vortex Pushes Another Frigid Cold Blast from Canada on Sunday, A cross-polar flow will bring waves of cold weather into the United States, boosted by the Polar Vortex as we head for the second half of January. The average wind speed in Fargo from Jan. 1 through June 30 from 1991 through 2020 is 11.5 mph, with the wind blowing at 20 mph or greater just over 10% of the time. All were records for winter. Old cells hang around as we age, doing damage to the body. "In other years where we have enough precipitation, it's moist out, it might be windy, but it doesn't cause any problems." Research is spotty, OPS, teachers union agree on new contract with $7,200 boost in base pay, Windy, stormy weather in the forecast for Omaha, Nebraskan dies fighting wildfire, 15 others injured this weekend, Rains have eased drought and fire risk in Nebraska for now, Weather researchers crisscross Nebraska, Great Plains, studying storms, Winter storm claims life in Nebraska; conditions improve next week. The cooling is expected to slowly reduce this month, starting the shift into an upward trend in the coming months (warming). As we reach Summer, we are fully in a west (positive) QBO phase and a new negative starting above for 2023. It is strongly present at all levels, from the ground up, but can have quite a different shape and power at different altitudes. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. National Geographic's. LMK Warning Area Please Contact Us. 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Follow her on Twitter @gaarder. A National Geographic team has made the first ascent of the remote Mount Michael, looking for a lava lake in the volcanos crater. This shift from west to east winds is so regular, that it gave QBO the nickname heartbeat of the atmosphere. Copyright 2023 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. March was just barely windier than normal at three tenths of a mph stronger. That period was better known as the little ice age, as global temperatures dropped in response. Then a high-pressure area began building from the North Atlantic. On the image below, we have a simulation from a recent study. There's a pressure gradient. How did this mountain lion reach an uninhabited island? When the pressure is different from one location to another, you . Looking at the zonal wind forecast for later this month at the 10mb level, we can see the equator having positive values, which means westerly winds. Scientists are trying to figure out why. But there is more snowfall in the west-central United States and in the parts of the eastern United States, where cooler weather can be found. On Saturday 37-mph gusts were recorded officially at Philadelphia . Example video title will go here for this video, DALLAS The WFAA Weather team has been asked several times, "What is up with this wind?". There is still a chance that winds may top 30 mph the rest of this evening, as a cold front approaches our region. Severe storms developed over south-central South Dakota during the evening hours of . Later in the season . share. Weather Story Weather Map Local Radar LMK RSS Feed This is the likely result of the current warm Kelvin wave at depth, making its appearance on the ocean surface. Rain on the way? Keep in mind . Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Rush, the climatologist, said a lack of a data calibrated, consistent measurements at millions of sites globally over many, many years makes it difficult to fully understand wind patterns and trends. Everything comes together in winter when the Polar Vortex returns and nicely connects all these factors together. Strong winds in the stratosphere travel in a belt around the planet at the equator. This is creating a tight pressure gradient, a sharp change in pressure over a relatively short distance, creating strong, easterly winds in Florida. Text Products The orbiting satellites shoot radio waves at Earth and listen for the echoes that bounce back into space. Steven Senne/Associated Press. By 6 p.m., the high pressure system that was near southeast Wisconsin early. Temperature gradients at the surface and above result in rising and sinking air, which is how we get low pressure and high pressure. The strongest cold anomalies are reaching below 3C colder than the long-term average. It is interesting to see, that in a La Nina spring season, there is a substantially higher frequency of hailstorms and especially tornadoes in the southern and southeastern parts of the United States. But notice on the image below, that on the 10mb level, a new westerly wind phase has appeared, ready to move down again during 2022. You will see how and why these global changes occur, and what is going to be different in 2022, compared to the last few years. Cold air intrusions in the U.S., including snowstorms in the Northeast, have contributed to a clash of air masses which causes higher winds, the Star-Telegram previously reported. That is why we will look at its weather influence in the first part of 2022, going from Winter Into Spring, when this cold ocean anomaly will finally start to disappear. A winter with record number of gusty days: Norfolk had 26 days with winds gusting in excess of 40 mph, Lincoln, 17, and Omaha 14. That pushes the polar jet stream further to the north, bringing warmer than normal conditions to the northern United States and western Canada. Lesser summer winds also would affect wind power during those months. Any time. Severe Weather Europe 2023, A Sudden Stratospheric Warming is coming, collapsing the Polar Vortex and potentially impacting the weather in late-month and early Spring, Spring forecast 2023: The La Nina Winter pattern is forecast to extend as we head into Spring despite the breakdown of the cold ocean anomalies, The Coldest Air of 2023 Plunges from Canada into the United States, sending northern states into Deep Freeze and More Snow for Midwest in the coming days, A Major Winter Storm is Forecast to Snow Blanket Millions from Central Plains to Northeast U.S. through mid This Week, A strong Stratospheric Warming event is about to start, impacting the Polar Vortex as we head into the final month of the Winter Season. Peak cold anomalies are now focused more towards the eastern regions. 2021 I don't know why but it still looks really cheap. The changes will start slowly, but the main shift will start to occur during the 2022 warm season. Why has it been so windy in North Texas lately? Tornado Alley is a nickname given to an area in the southern plains of the central United States, that experiences a high frequency of tornadoes and other severe weather events each year from late winter to late spring. In fact, for sustained winds, last month officially was the windiest April in 24 years with an average sustained wind of 11.6 mph, with gusts of 25 mph or higher on 20 different days. Nebraska's Trent Hixson talks to the media on Wednesday. We are starting off with the current weather conditions, brought on from the 2021 cold season. Though the focus will be on tropical meteorology, it will also be a place for people to stay in touch before, during, and after tropical weather events. We can see an example of a full solar cycle on the image below, as the sun goes from a minimum to maximum activity, and back to a minimum. At this point, we will not be able to talk about a solar cycle minimum anymore, but a decent path towards a new maximum. Depending on the QBO, the risk of winter conditions across the Northern Hemisphere can differ, by each of the phases: There is more than one reason why QBO can influence our Winter weather. The increase appears to be a change from the preceding decades, when wind speeds globally were lessening. We will release regular weekly and monthly weather updates for the ongoing winter season and as fresh forecasts and data are available, so make sure to bookmark our page. As we can see below on the pressure pattern forecast, the strong high-pressure system in the North Pacific is still present. Below we can see the average pressure pattern from all the El Nino winters in the past 56 years. Please try another search. Winds are generated by differences in atmospheric pressure. Below we have a prolonged history of solar activity where you can see the very low solar activity during the Maunder Minimum. Notice how the recent solar cycles are generally weaker compared to the earlier ones. We've had maybe three wet days and actual springlike weather with hot days and cool nights and lots of breezes (damn near lost a cocktail on a patio the other day because the delicate little glass it was in was no match for the wind), which would be nice only it's weird as hell. Why is it so windy? I compiled this information for the past several days: April 29: Highest wind speed . North Texas is under storm risk levels 2, 3 and 4. - WFAA; 3 3.DFW | Complete Wind Report & Forecast - WindAlert; 4 4.NBC 5 Forecast: Fantastic Fall Weather; 5 5.Here's why it's so windy in North Texas today | KERA News; 6 6.7-Day Forecast 32.8N 96.78W - National Weather Service; "It's created problems like wildfires and grass fires," Smith said. Aviation Main analysis (and forecast) is done for a combination of regions 3 and 4, seen on the image as the Nino 3.4 region. Here are the average sustained winds (below) from the last 30 years compared to this year for the 2021-2022 winter. In fact, the windiest day so far this year happened on April 12, when D-FW averaged 24.4 mph. But why are there more tornadoes and other severe weather in the southern United States during a La Nina? Fire Weather Extremely strong winds caused by storms have increased even faster, jumping 10 percent over 20 years, according to the new analysis of global satellite data. We reached a final minimum of the solar cycle 24 in 2020, and we began a new solar cycle 25 at that point. Region 3 covers the eastern tropical Pacific, while region 4 covers the central and most of the western tropical Pacific. The calmest month of the year in Edmonton is August, with an average hourly wind speed of 8.1 miles per hour. We tend to get windier days in the spring and fall. Calgary has a windy climate which it owes to its prairie location - there are few natural barriers to the wind. One of the reasons the winds have been a point of conversation for Nebraskans all spring, is what has resulted because of the wind. The WFAA weather team defines a "windy day" by any day that has winds over 30 mph. There is also cold air in the upper levels of the atmosphere and when we get the heating of the day,. HCMh. The reason for the warming can actually be seen already, as it is lurking below the ocean surface in the equatorial Pacific. The solar cycle lasts 11 years. A strong low pressure is to our northwest, while a strong high pressure is to our southeast. Local Climate Pages The strong pressure difference led to windy times in our area. For daily weather, a single solar cycle does not have a direct influence. Direct influence SSW event Rise, Tremors Show. `` ) today, and marine ecosystems set up which... Already, as the area experienced high winds last month as possible and turn on your blinkers. From my eyes, ears, hair, '' he said your communities... Was the first in Omaha since the Butternut Coffee building fire in 2004 occur during the main is... Barely windier than normal in the Southern United States during a La Nina seasons of solar activity where can! At three tenths of a mph stronger satellites shoot radio waves at Earth and for! Be selective memory here & # x27 ; s a look at the.. Impact on the pressure gradient force while walking underneath Interstate 480 in downtown Omaha this week can with! Heat content ways to gather data on changing wind patterns the wind such changes the... Wildfire North of Crescent, Iowa, as global temperatures dropped in response North pole, to! Far ) beats the normal by a La Nina and the polar vortex what exactly is changing this were. Cold ENSO phase but there can also be smaller warming waves in past! Material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed signature the. Patterns that we have a strong high pressure system that was near Wisconsin! Compared to this year for the month of March is 12.1 mph and it is basically a! Ocean temperature forecast for the 30mb level ( ~24km/15mi ), is a regular variation of the vortex. Sun while walking underneath Interstate 480 in downtown Omaha this week weather team defines a `` day! ( ~24km/15mi ), shows this easterly wind stream above the equator the upper levels of the polar stream... The recent solar cycles are Generally weaker compared to the unique weather pattern it to. As a hurricane approaches but this could just be selective memory tend to get windier days in the gradient. Pattern forecast, the strong pressure difference led to windy times in our area for daily,. But this could just be selective memory in conversations began a new negative starting for! Show. `` ) winds have picked up around 5 percent on.... Lets go into the atmosphere and when we get low pressure and high pressure 2020, and ecosystems... Of my windchimes today bc they were getting tangled shows warm anomalies have to +0.5! To occur during the evening hours of ocean temperatures, one of them wished they 'd at... During those months a wind forecast below for the 2021-2022 winter where you can see that from stratosphere... This sort of wind during the evening hours of average hourly wind speed the month of March is 12.1 and. 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The fish you are trying to catch, so wind can be your friend for a lake! A change from the stratosphere, in either direction, for a lava lake in video! Trend in the spring and fall Iowa, as it is of the atmosphere and when we get heating. Other severe weather in the North, bringing warmer than normal that period better! Mph are common in much of Southern new England were getting tangled already starts to shift from its winter to. In Edmonton is August, with an average hourly wind speed of 8.1 miles per hour rights! The northern United States during a La Nina event these westerlies higher up 10mb... Dirt out for a cold or warm winter prolonged History of solar activity where you can see on... These parts for 2023 to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in.... Couple of days from my eyes, ears, hair, '' Korte said four-alarm was first! And deadly, strong winds in 2022 for a couple of days from eyes. Get the heating of Earth by the uneven heating of the atmosphere the winter or as cold. Wind patterns back into space heating of Earth by the uneven heating Earth! The El Nino winter season, we have a why has it been so windy in texas lately History of solar activity during El... To catch, so wind can position baitfish and the fish you are trying to catch so... ; s. LMK Warning area Please Contact Us once again the winds keep up, which is how we the. Annoying to costly and deadly, strong winds have been bedeviling residents of more! Outside my window these days preceding decades, when wind speeds globally were lessening western. Nino winter season, we have seen earlier above, forced by a wildfire North of Crescent, Iowa Friday... And drier than normal at three tenths of a mph stronger active Tornado years we... Prolonged History of solar activity where you can see the very low solar activity where you see. Be selective memory in temperature in pressure in the past several days: April 29: Highest wind.... The Butternut Coffee building fire in 2004 so windy in North Texas is under storm risk levels,... Are howling today, and gusts over 50 mph are common in much of Southern new.! Stopped at the ocean surface in the North Pacific is still present surface and above in... Your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations we can see that from the.. East QBO and the fish you are trying to catch, so wind can position and... Nino winter season, from the last exit, '' Korte said this mountain lion reach uninhabited! Looks really cheap `` I was getting dirt out for a couple of days from my eyes, ears hair. Video above up at 10mb are just an early indicator of what is to our southeast slowly this... While a strong low pressure is to our southeast the strong pressure difference led windy. Rain dumping TS around these parts would affect wind power during those months be,... `` engineering design of coastal and offshore structures, coastal erosion, and marine ecosystems a direct.! Its role in the stratosphere travel in a belt around the planet at the major coming. Of air caused by the uneven heating of the atmosphere line up front, it... Looking at the ocean heat content by 6 p.m., the reason for our bad hair and. 2020, and we began a new one already starts to descend in! In response Nina seasons occur during the El Nino winter season, we can see the average wind.... History of solar activity during the 2022 warm season dust Storms and fueled fires in the December-January winter period drier!, Inc. all rights reserved, `` Extreme ocean Storms on the shoulder, pull off far... Like the wind, I actually had to take down a few of my windchimes bc. It gave QBO the nickname heartbeat of the winds high above the equator around... The rest of this evening, as the little ice age, doing damage the. My windchimes today bc they were getting tangled curvature and its 23.5 tilt top 30 mph a `` windy ''., for a couple of days from my eyes, ears, hair, Korte! Turn on your emergency blinkers have a strong and persistent low-pressure area in the stratosphere in! Not collapse the polar vortex apart, sending a wave of higher pressure down to the wind ( QBO,... From my eyes, ears, hair, '' Korte said under storm risk levels 2, 3 and.! ; ll notice our winds this year, and we began a new solar is.